Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.029301 0.034111 0.039407 0.045664 0.052847 0.060825 0.070351
2025-10-05 0.023212 0.029761 0.037633 0.047760 0.060409 0.075650 0.095368
2025-10-12 0.018794 0.026215 0.035841 0.049166 0.067049 0.090124 0.122045
2025-10-19 0.014699 0.022130 0.032451 0.047705 0.069520 0.099411 0.143244
2025-10-26 0.011993 0.019341 0.030193 0.047192 0.072905 0.110040 0.167330
2025-11-02 0.009727 0.016721 0.027652 0.045714 0.074468 0.118017 0.188340
2025-11-09 0.008049 0.014682 0.025605 0.044561 0.076179 0.126176 0.210303
2025-11-16 0.006914 0.013319 0.024388 0.044477 0.079434 0.136907 0.237257
2025-11-23 0.005822 0.011824 0.022689 0.043271 0.080560 0.144173 0.259190
2025-11-30 0.005353 0.011396 0.022790 0.045206 0.087279 0.161402 0.299547
2025-12-07 0.004718 0.010526 0.021934 0.045233 0.090511 0.172840 0.330896
2025-12-14 0.004030 0.009424 0.020456 0.043841 0.090875 0.179096 0.353455
2025-12-21 0.003517 0.008615 0.019470 0.043333 0.092972 0.188936 0.384027
2025-12-28 0.003331 0.008505 0.019919 0.045831 0.101348 0.211553 0.441169
2026-01-04 0.003090 0.008222 0.019952 0.047447 0.108101 0.231685 0.495475
2026-01-11 0.002673 0.007435 0.018742 0.046163 0.108561 0.239261 0.525446
2026-01-18 0.002369 0.006874 0.017960 0.045730 0.110794 0.250650 0.564273
2026-01-25 0.002050 0.006212 0.016836 0.044327 0.110662 0.257005 0.593104
2026-02-01 0.001791 0.005661 0.015894 0.043223 0.111061 0.264499 0.625032
2026-02-08 0.001614 0.005306 0.015398 0.043149 0.113869 0.277548 0.670317
2026-02-15 0.001413 0.004837 0.014524 0.041981 0.113863 0.284208 0.701852
2026-02-22 0.001352 0.004789 0.014793 0.043864 0.121682 0.309696 0.778847
2026-03-01 0.001229 0.004520 0.014398 0.043891 0.124762 0.324284 0.831682